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In theory, elected officials in Montgomery and Prince George鈥檚 Counties have 9 billion reasons to get behind the Hogan administration鈥檚 efforts to ease traffic congestion in the notoriously traffic-plagued capital region.
So far, it isn鈥檛 working out that way.
In 2017, Gov. Lawrence J. Hogan Jr. (R) announced a $9 billion plan to widen the Capital Beltway, the Baltimore-Washington Parkway and Interstate 270 by adding four lanes, two in each direction, to all three highways.
Transportation advocates hailed the plan when it was unveiled, calling it bold and overdue. And they praised Hogan for acknowledging that the status quo 鈥 ever-lengthening commute times and untold hours wasted in traffic 鈥 is unsustainable.
State transportation officials are slowly fleshing out the governor鈥檚 plan. Last month, the Board of Public Works approved a $90 million contract to study the planning, final design and construction of the added capacity to the Beltway and 270.
But nearly 16 months after Hogan announced his plan, officials from the two counties that would benefit the most from it continue to express concern, skepticism and opposition.
In an interview last week, Prince George鈥檚 County Executive Angela D. Alsobrooks (D) said she has yet to formulate a position on Hogan鈥檚 plan, and likely won鈥檛 do so until she has a chance to meet with him. But she was quick to point out that her constituents oppose it.
鈥淲hat I do know is that it鈥檚 not supported widely by Prince Georgians,鈥 she said. 鈥淚 know that about 60 percent of our residents, the last we checked, are actually against that proposal.鈥
An aide later said that Alsobrooks was referring to an October 2018 Washington Post survey that found 35 percent of Prince George鈥檚 County residents support the state鈥檚 plan, with 62 percent opposed.
The county executive said her constituents prefer beefed-up mass transit options, and she urged the governor to give his transportation strategy 鈥渕ore study and thought.鈥
But other polls taken over the past few years have shown greater support for the road-widening concept, and the Hogan administration is banking on motorists鈥 frustration with intractable traffic problems to win backing from the public 鈥 and their local elected officials 鈥 for the governor鈥檚 plan.
鈥淔inally fixing the chronic traffic gridlock in our state will foster economic development, improve air quality, and 鈥 most importantly 鈥 drastically improve quality of life for our residents and visitors,鈥 said Amelia Chasse, Hogan鈥檚 communications director. 鈥淥ur administration looks forward to working with the county executive and her team to collaborate on solutions to this crippling congestion, including the $5 billion Purple Line currently under construction, as well as the governor鈥檚 plan to provide relief to tens of thousands of Prince Georgians and Marylanders who are tired of sitting in traffic on the Capital Beltway and I-270 every day.鈥
Because the General Assembly has many newcomers, administration officials, led by Transportation Secretary Pete K. Rahn, have been busy briefing legislators on their proposal over the past few weeks.
After one hearing, before the House Appropriations Committee on Friday, Del. Marc Korman (D), the chairman of the Montgomery County House delegation, accused the governor鈥檚 team of promulgating 鈥渁 false narrative鈥 on how best to confront the capital region鈥檚 over-taxed road network.
鈥淚t鈥檚 either 鈥榶ou鈥檙e for this or you鈥檙e for traffic.鈥 And that鈥檚 pretty absurd,鈥 Korman told Maryland Matters. 鈥淢ost people who have questions or concerns about this aren鈥檛 pro-traffic. They鈥檙e just trying to figure out what is the right way to relieve traffic.鈥
鈥淐learly there are alternatives to the governor鈥檚 preferred approach,鈥 he added.
Montgomery County Executive Marc B. Elrich (D) also opposes Hogan鈥檚 plan. He believes the state should add two lanes to I-270, one in each direction, or reversible, flowing in the dominant direction of traffic. And he is pushing Maryland to relieve bottlenecks that form at the American Legion Bridge first, before undertaking a billion-dollar transportation proposal.
Numerous officials in the two counties have expressed concern that there isn鈥檛 enough room to expand four lanes on the roads Hogan wants to widen without taking homes and businesses, despite a that not a single home will be taken through eminent domain.
In addition, there is concern about the financing approach the state has adopted. Under MDOT鈥檚 proposal, private companies would finance the road-widening projects under a public-private partnership (or 鈥淧3鈥) contract with the state. Those firms would recoup their investment, the state maintains, by collecting tolls from motorists who use the new lanes. (Existing lanes would remain free, state officials have said.)
Opponents of this approach express fear that only high-income people will be able to afford the new lanes, leaving everyone else to sit in traffic. Recently-built express lanes on Interstate 95 north of Baltimore City use this approach and it works well, the administration insists.
Rahn told Maryland Matters that there is no way to do a project of this magnitude without the involvement of deep-pocketed firms.
鈥淲e just don鈥檛 have the capacity to borrow that amount of money. We don鈥檛!鈥 he said. 鈥淭here is a debt affordability cap鈥 so there鈥檚 not enough capacity to protect the bond ratings of what we already have borrowed and then to operate this system.鈥
After construction costs come the maintenance requirements, Rahn said, which is where the private sector鈥檚 commitment becomes invaluable. 鈥淭hat鈥檚 a major expense that鈥檚 folded into the cost of the concessionaire, that is included, that we never talk about in government.鈥
Rahn said he is not worried about firms buckling under the weight of the debt they take on. 鈥淭his industry has been active for nearly 30 years. So they have a record around the world of multi-billion dollar projects 鈥 larger than what we鈥檙e talking about here.鈥
鈥淭hey鈥檙e going to have a high level of risk, so they鈥檙e going to have a high level of confidence that this thing is viable [going in].鈥
Rahn and Maryland State Highway Administrator Greg Slater addressed the Montgomery House delegation on Friday, with Elrich in attendance.
In an interview on Sunday, the county executive praised both men and said he looks forward to discussing the project in more detail, even as he continued to express concerns about Hogan鈥檚 approach.
He noted that the state recently re-striped part of the 270 spur, gaining a lane in the process. And he stressed that adding two lanes to the road 鈥 reversible, or one in each direction 鈥 can add significant capacity, using existing road surface, at a fraction of the cost and much more quickly than the Hogan plan.
鈥淏ut the Beltway is too narrow鈥 to widen, he said.
Elrich also expressed concern that even an expanded Beltway will empty traffic onto local roads that are clogged, minimizing the impact of widening the highway.
鈥淚鈥檝e had a long working relationship with the transportation folks鈥 at the state level, Elrich added. 鈥淚t鈥檚 actually a good relationship. [Slater] and I speak similar language. And I know that he can be pretty creative at looking for solutions.鈥
鈥淭he thing is,鈥 Elrich concluded, 鈥渨hatever you do has to actually solve the problem. If it doesn鈥檛 solve the problem, no one鈥檚 gonna care that you spent $9 billion.鈥