DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (AP) 鈥� challenging the country’s theocracy, but it seems like the only thing people there want to talk about is half a world away: Venezuela.
Since the U.S. military seized Venezuelan President , a longtime ally of Tehran, over the weekend, Iranian state media headlines and officials have condemned the operation. In the streets and even in some official conversations, however, there’s a growing question over whether a similar mission could target the Islamic Republic’s top officials including the supreme leader, 86-year-old .
The paranoia feeds into wider worries among Iranians. Many fear that close U.S. ally Israel will target Iran again as it did during it launched against Tehran in June. Israel killed a slew of top military officials and nuclear scientists, and the U.S. . Khamenei is believed to have gone into hiding for his protection.
鈥淕od bless our leader, we should be careful too,” said Saeed Seyyedi, a 57-year-old teacher in Tehran, worried the U.S. could act as it did in Venezuela.
“The U.S. has always been after plots against Iran, especially when issues like oil, Israel are part of the case. In addition, it can be complicated when it is mixed with the Russia-Ukraine war, the Lebanese (group) Hezbollah and drug accusations.鈥�
The U.S. long has accused the Iranian-backed Hezbollah of running drug-smuggling operations to fund its operations, including in Latin America, which the group denies.
鈥楶lease pray鈥�
Immediately after Maduro鈥檚 seizure, an analyst on Iranian state television claimed, without offering evidence, that the U.S. and Israel had plans during the war last year to kidnap Iranian officials with a team of dual-national Iranians. Even for conspiracy-minded Iranian television, airing such a claim is unusual.
Then on Sunday night, the prominent Ayatollah Mohammad Ali Javedan warned an audience at prayers in Tehran University that Khamenei’s life was in danger.
鈥淪omeone said he had a bad dream that the leader鈥檚 life is in danger,” Javedan said, without elaborating. “Please pray.鈥�
However, Iran is roughly twice the size of Venezuela and has what analysts consider to be a much stronger military and robust security forces. The memory of Operation Eagle Claw, a failed U.S. special forces mission to rescue hostages held after the 1979 U.S. Embassy takeover in Tehran, also haunts Washington.
Then there’s the political situation in Iran, with its theocracy protected by hard-liners within the paramilitary Revolutionary Guard, who answer only to Khamenei. They could launch assassinations, cyberattacks and assaults on shipping in the Mideast, warned Farzin Nadimi, senior fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy who studies Iran鈥檚 military.
And crucially, Iran also still has fissile nuclear material.
鈥淚n the grand-strategy scheme of things, they need to think about the day after,鈥� Nadimi said of anyone considering a Venezuela-style raid. 鈥淚ran is a much more complex political situation. They have to calculate the costs and benefits.鈥�
Not just the Iranians
Others wonder what part of the world the , while critics have .
鈥淭he regime in Iran should pay close attention to what is happening in Venezuela,鈥� Israeli opposition leader Yair Lapid posted on social media on Saturday.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu did not directly link Maduro’s detention to Iran but acknowledged the protests sweeping Tehran and other cities, saying: 鈥淚t is very possible that we are standing at the moment when the Iranian people are taking their fate into their own hands.鈥�
Hours before the U.S. action in Venezuela, that if Tehran 鈥渧iolently kills peaceful protesters鈥� the U.S. 鈥渨ill come to their rescue.鈥�
On Monday, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmail Baghaei denounced the comments by Trump and Netanyahu as an 鈥渋ncitement to violence, terrorism and killing.鈥�
, a Republican who had been close to Trump but resigned Monday after a falling-out with the president, directly linked the Venezuela operation to Iran.
鈥淭he next obvious observation is that by removing Maduro this is a clear move for control over Venezuelan oil supplies that will ensure stability for the next obvious regime change war in Iran,” Greene wrote on social media.
鈥楳ake Iran Great Again鈥�
U.S. Sen. Lindsey Graham, a Republican, put on a 鈥淢ake Iran Great Again鈥� hat during a Sunday segment on Fox 草莓传媒. He later posted an image showing him and Trump smiling after the president autographed a similar-looking hat.
鈥淚 pray and hope that 2026 will be the year that we make Iran great again,” Graham said.
Even Saudi Arabia, Iran鈥檚 longtime rival that reached , appeared to be thinking about a possible U.S. intervention in Tehran.
鈥淏y dragging Maduro before a U.S. court, Trump sent a message more brutal than the massive bombs his aircraft dropped on Iran鈥檚 nuclear facilities,鈥� Ghassan Charbel, editor-in-chief of the Saudi-owned, London-published Asharq Al-Awsat newspaper, wrote Sunday.
鈥淗ow devastating it must be for Iran鈥檚 supreme leader to hear of Maduro鈥檚 abduction at the hands of American forces.鈥�
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