TALLADEGA, Ala. (AP) 鈥� Brad Keselowski felt the utmost confidence entering Talladega Superspeedway this weekend 鈥� even while knowing his car doesn鈥檛 have the speed to keep up with the .
Keselowski has six wins at the 2.66-mile tri-oval, tying him with Dale Earnhardt Jr. and Jeff Gordon for second in NASCAR history. Only Dale Earnhardt Sr., who won a record 10 times at the Alabama track, has more victories there.
Keselowski will try to move into sole possession of second place Sunday in the first of two 鈥楧ega races this season. It鈥檚 far from a sure thing, especially given Toyota鈥檚 dominance through the first nine races.
鈥淛ust need a little bit of luck,” he said. 鈥淚 had two great races at Talladega in 鈥�24 and two just OK or bad races in 鈥�25. I guess that means I鈥檓 probably on the other side of the cycle. So I鈥檓 hopeful to make it count and hope we鈥檙e on the positive side of that cycle.鈥�
Keselowski was the runner-up in both events in 2024. He wrecked out of the April race a year ago and then notched a 10th-place finish in October. His last win at NASCAR’s longest track came in 2021.
鈥淩acers tend to count their losses more than they count their wins,鈥� Keselowski said. 鈥淚 don鈥檛 know why that is, probably because you have more losses than you have wins. But I feel like there鈥檚 probably a few races at Talladega that I should have won and I didn鈥檛. And then there鈥檚 probably a few I shouldn鈥檛 have won that I did.
鈥淪o maybe it all kind of works out in the wash.鈥�
Cup Series points leader , who drives for 23XI Racing and NBA great Michael Jordan, has five wins through the first two months. Toyota has claimed seven of the nine events, with Denny Hamlin and Ty Gibbs picking up two for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Reddick鈥檚 pace has been matched four times previously in NASCAR鈥檚 top series and not since Earnhardt Sr. started off the 1987 season that way. The Intimidator went on to win six more times while claiming the third of his seven championships, and there鈥檚 little to make it seem that Reddick can鈥檛 do the same thing.
鈥淣one of the Fords have any chance of beating the Toyotas right now until they get a new car or rules concessions,鈥� Keselowski said. 鈥淭he only opportunity we have to beat them is in areas where aerodynamics aren鈥檛 as important on the car.鈥�
That could be Talladega, where pack racing in a draft negates aerodynamic advantages. Keselowski pointed to superspeedways and short tracks as the best shot at upsetting anyone in a Toyota.
Then again, Reddick won the season-opening Daytona 500 and the following week at Atlanta.
鈥淭he other tracks, they just have so much more speed,鈥� said Keselowski, who is ranked 10th in points through nine events. 鈥淓ven when they don鈥檛 execute very well and we execute at a high degree, the speed differential makes up for it.鈥�
Qualifying gets rained out
NASCAR canceled qualifying for the Jack Links 500 because of rain. The sanctioning body pulled the plug early Saturday after overnight rain continued into the early morning hours.
The weather is expected to improve throughout the day, but scattered thunderstorms are in the forecast.
Reddick will start from the pole based on NASCAR鈥檚 qualifying metrics. Kyle Larson will start second, followed by Denny Hamlin, Bubba Wallace and Chase Briscoe. Keselowski will start sixth.
Casey Mears was the lone driver to not qualify.
Oddsmakers list Blaney as the race favorite
Despite Toyota鈥檚 dominance, oddsmakers installed Ford drivers Ryan Blaney and Joey Logano as the prerace favorites. Blaney is plus-1000 to win, following by Logano (plus-1200) and William Byron (plus-1400).
Reddick is the next choice at plus-1500. Keselowski is plus-1600.
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